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Data

Published house charts. Each lists its sources and as-of date and links to the full post. They describe what happened, not what to do.

Live trackers

Recurring series, refreshed on a schedule.

LE AI Build Monitor chart
Weekly

LE AI Build Monitor

Weekly read on the AI build-out across compute, power, agents/demand and capital/credit.

Updated Oct 17, 2026 · data as of week ending Oct 16, 2026 · Latest on Substack →

Power meter: ERCOT, PJM, NIPSCO chart
Recurring

Power meter: ERCOT, PJM, NIPSCO

Large-load requests vs peak demand in Texas, PJM capacity auctions at the cap, and the pending NIPSCO × $MSFT power deal.

Updated Oct 20, 2026 · data as of Oct 19, 2026 · Latest on X →

Crypto basket chart
Weekly

Crypto basket

One-week, one-month and year-to-date returns, plus distance from the 200-day average, for 6 coins and 6 crypto stocks/ETFs, with $BTC as the benchmark and $SPY/$QQQ for reference.

Updated Oct 18, 2026 · data as of Oct 16, 2026 close (coins UTC) · Latest on X →

Sector ETF scan chart
Weekly

Sector ETF scan

One-week, one-month and year-to-date total returns, plus distance from the 200-day average, for the 11 S&P 500 sector SPDR ETFs, with $SPY as the benchmark.

Updated Oct 16, 2026 · data as of Oct 15, 2026 close · Latest on X →

$BTC log-trend channel chart
Monthly

$BTC log-trend channel

Bitcoin price vs its long-run log trend (our calc: OLS fit of ln(price) through Sep 30, 2026, frozen Q3 '26). The channel is a range, not a forecast.

Updated Oct 11, 2026 · data as of Oct 9, 2026 UTC close · Latest on X →

$ETH log-trend channel chart
Monthly

$ETH log-trend channel

Ether price vs its long-run log trend (our calc: OLS fit of ln(price) through Sep 30, 2026, frozen Q3 '26). The channel is a range, not a forecast.

Updated Oct 11, 2026 · data as of Oct 9, 2026 UTC close · Latest on X →

$SPY log-trend channel chart
Monthly

$SPY log-trend channel

S&P 500 ETF price vs its long-run log trend (our calc: OLS fit of ln(price) through Sep 30, 2026, frozen Q3 '26). The channel is a range, not a forecast.

Updated Oct 5, 2026 · data as of Oct 2, 2026 close · Latest on X →

$QQQ log-trend channel chart
Monthly

$QQQ log-trend channel

Nasdaq-100 ETF price vs its long-run log trend (our calc: OLS fit of ln(price) through Sep 30, 2026, frozen Q3 '26). The channel is a range, not a forecast.

Updated Oct 5, 2026 · data as of Oct 2, 2026 close · Latest on X →

Research charts

One-off research, each linked to its full post.

AI capex vs the 2000 telecom build chart

AI capex vs the 2000 telecom build

The 2000 fiber builders spent 1.8x to 5.4x their operating cash flow; in their last full year, $MSFT, $GOOGL, $META and $AMZN spent 0.56x to 0.94x (our calc).

As of Oct 19, 2026 · Read on Substack → · Read on X →

Hyperscaler debt vs rates chart

Hyperscaler debt vs rates

Added annual interest at +10/+25/+50bp as a share of TTM operating income for $ORCL, $AMZN, $GOOGL, $META and $MSFT (our calc).

As of Oct 14, 2026 · Read on X →

$CRWV cost of capital chart

$CRWV cost of capital

Implied rate on all CoreWeave debt fell from 11.1% in Q1 '25 to 7.8% in Q2 '26 (our calc), while unsecured coupons stayed at 9.00–9.75%.

As of data through Jun 30, 2026 · Read on X →

Frontier-lab expansion chart

Frontier-lab expansion

Acquisitions and acqui-hires by OpenAI, Anthropic and Google rose to 11 in H1 2026 (our count), by half-year and industry.

As of Oct 20, 2026 · Read on X →

$AMZN supplier-warrant ledger chart

$AMZN supplier-warrant ledger

Unvested Amazon warrants in its suppliers, as % of each supplier's shares outstanding per $1B of spend (our calc).

As of Oct 20, 2026 · Read on X →

Coming soon

Weekly Technical Sheet

A Friday-close snapshot of trend and breadth across our coverage universe.

Coming soon

Tracker archives

Past editions of each live tracker in one place.

Coming soon

More trackers

Further recurring series will be added here as they are published.

Coming soon

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